Bad Data Spur Market Doubts
Among U.S. Investors
by Edgar Ortega and Eric Martin
February 28, 2007 (Bloomberg)
The U.S. stock market lost a measure of trust
with traders after computer malfunctions sent the Dow Jones Industrial
Average plummeting 178 points in one minute yesterday.
"The system should be able to handle the capacity when you have
high-volume days," said Thomas Garcia, head of trading at Thornburg
Investment Management, which oversees about $34 billion in Santa Fe, New
Mexico. "If I was making decisions based off of bad data, then yeah, I
have a huge problem with that."
Dow Jones & Co. said its computers were responsible for the sudden
nosedive in the 30-stock benchmark about an hour before markets closed
because they failed to keep up with trades. The New York Stock Exchange
said separately that it experienced "intermittent delays" in prices.
Nasdaq Stock Market Inc. reported slower distribution of some market
data. Together the two markets handle almost 90 percent of all shares
that trade in the U.S., the world's biggest equity market.
Some NYSE floor brokers resorted to pen and paper to complete trades,
while others scrambled to keep up with orders after an overnight
sell-off in Chinese stocks spread globally and sparked the biggest U.S.
rout in four years. The 3.3 billion shares that traded on the Nasdaq was
the most in almost five years. Some 2.4 billion shares traded at the
NYSE, the highest volume since June.
It was the busiest day on record at the Chicago Board Options Exchange,
the largest U.S. options market. Some 6.8 million contracts changed
hands, eclipsing the previous record of 5.8 million reached in May 2006,
according to the exchange.
Backup System
"The extraordinary heavy trading volume caused a delay in our Dow Jones
Industrial Average data," said Sybille Reitz, a spokeswoman at New
York-based Dow Jones, which created the price-weighted benchmark in
1896. "As we identified the problem we switched over to a backup system
and the result was a rapid catch up in the public value for the Dow."
Dow Jones alerted stock, futures and options exchanges that rely on the
average "pretty early" after noticing the problem, Reitz said. "We
switch back and forth between data servers all the time for maintenance
reasons, but have never had a delay like this in the reporting of the
index," she said.
Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News, competes with Dow Jones to
provide financial news and information. A chart of the Dow average shows
a steady decline until 2:59 p.m., when the line heads straight down as
the backup servers at Dow Jones kicked in, tabulating trades done
earlier in the day.
`The Dam Broke'
Michael Driscoll, a trader at Bear Stearns Cos., noted that the Dow
average was down about 300 points when he turned away from the chart to
take a phone call just before 3 p.m. in New York. By the time he looked
up again, the losses had almost doubled.
"When the dam broke, that's when we saw the market go from down 250 to
down 550 literally in a couple of seconds," said Driscoll, senior
managing director at New York-based Bear Stearns.
The sudden plunge fueled a wave of new orders that overwhelmed systems
at stock exchanges in the final hour of trading. Warren Meyers, a
managing director at NYSE brokerage Walter J. Dowd Inc., started
scribbling trades on paper after the delays made it impossible to
determine the fate of an electronic order. He ended up with more shares
than he wanted. The debacle reminded many traders how captive the market
has become to computers.
Price of Speed
"I noticed some problems early in the day, but after 3 p.m. it was
floor-wide," Meyers said. "People want speed and they want the anonymity
of electronic trading, but when the markets get roiled they look to
humans to handle trades efficiently and we weren't able to do that. It's
frightening when you're in the New York Stock Exchange and you can't
trade."
Just last March, the 214-year-old New York Stock Exchange embraced
electronic trading with the purchase of Archipelago Holdings Inc. It's
now acquiring Paris-based Euronext NV, a $12.5 billion trans-Atlantic
deal that involves the integration of stock markets on an unprecedented
scale.
The Dow ended up declining 416.02, or 3.3 percent, to 12,216.24, the
biggest slide since March 2003. At the day's low, which followed the
malfunction at Dow Jones, the average was down 546.2 points. The last
time it fell as much was Sept. 17, 2001, the first trading day after
terrorists destroyed the World Trade Center in downtown New York,
killing more than 2,700 people.
The CBOE SPX Volatility Index, an indicator known as the VIX that
measures the perceived risk of stock-market swings, rose 64 percent --
the most ever.
Declined Extended
The market drop started in China, where the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300
Index tumbled 9.2 percent yesterday, wiping out $107.8 billion of market
value. Indexes in Europe then declined more than 2 percent. Today,
stocks in Japan and Hong Kong fell, while the Shanghai index gained 3.5
percent. U.S. stock indexes are indicated to open higher.
Still, Bruce Bartlett, director of growth equity investments at Lord
Abbett & Co. in Jersey City, New Jersey, said the reports of data
problems at the exchanges concerned him more than the market's decline.
"It's not particularly scary in the context of the 1987 crash," said
Bartlett. "A lot of it's really going to bear on what happened on the
floor of the exchange."
New market rules next month may cause recurring problems at the
exchanges, said Joe Rosen, who until April was a managing director of
trading technology at the NYSE. Regulation National Market System,
commonly known as Reg NMS, takes effect March 5, forcing brokers and
exchanges to route orders to the market with the best price available
for automatic execution.
`Wake-Up Call'
"This is a foreboding of what's going to happen when you have the quotes
flickering and orders getting routed here and there," said Rosen,
president of brokerage consultant RKA Inc. "This is a wake-up call."
Some investors took advantage of yesterday's rout to buy stocks.
Bartlett said Lord Abbett added to positions in some technology stocks.
Benjamin Wallace, who helps oversee $650 million at Grimes & Co. in
Westborough, Massachusetts, asked his trader to buy shares of
Progressive Corp., Novartis AG and Chesapeake Energy Corp. at about 3
p.m. New York time.
"Things started to accelerate and prices were interesting," Wallace
said. "As long as the real catalyst is this issue in China, it's
short-term."
Jim Russell, an equity strategist at Fifth Third Asset Management, a
Cincinnati money manager that oversees $21.8 billion, said he's
reluctant to increase stock holdings until the markets stabilize.
Freight Train
"While a couple of stocks are starting reach a point where they're
starting to look attractive, we aren't going to step in front of what
could be a freight train," he said.
For Kenneth Polcari, a managing director at ICAP Plc's equities unit,
the question isn't whether stocks were poised for an extended slump
after four straight years of gains. It's how quickly stocks bounce back.
"The technology issues created some anxiety, which exacerbated the
market's move," said Polcari, an NYSE broker for more than 25 years.
"The institutional investor understands that the market had to take a
breather."
With reporting by Christine Harper and Bradley Keoun in New York.
Editor: Erik Schatzker.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Edgar Ortega in New York at 212-617-2592 or
ebarrales@bloomberg.net;
Eric Martin in New York at +1-212-617-5383 or
emartin21@bloomberg.net.
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Erik Schatzker at 212-617-3849 or
eschatzker@bloomberg.net.
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